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National Interests: Priorities and Security
 

Region's sustainable development prediction on the basis of economic-mathematical modeling

Vol. 12, Iss. 9, SEPTEMBER 2016

Received: 13 April 2016

Received in revised form: 25 May 2016

Accepted: 18 June 2016

Available online: 29 September 2016

Subject Heading: SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF ECONOMY

JEL Classification: C53, P25, R11, R15, R58

Pages: 18-27

Vdovin S.M. Ogarev Mordovian State University, Saransk, Republic of Mordovia, Russian Federation
dep-general@adm.mrsu.ru

Gus'kova N.D. Ogarev Mordovian State University, Saransk, Republic of Mordovia, Russian Federation
econauka@yandex.ru

Neretina E.A. Ogarev Mordovian State University, Saransk, Republic of Mordovia, Russian Federation
ch.marketing@econom.mrsu.ru

Ivanova I.A. Ogarev Mordovian State University, Saransk, Republic of Mordovia, Russian Federation
ivia16@mail.ru

Importance The article deals with the issues of development of a strategy to increase the sustainability of regional development and the mechanism of its implementation.
Objectives The article aims to study the competitive advantages of the regional system and develop a methodological approach to the evaluation and prediction of the stability of its socio-economic development.
Methods This work uses the econometric methods to assess and predict the sustainability of the region's development, taking into account the major socio-economic factors.
Results We have conducted a comprehensive assessment of the sustainability of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation subjects, using econometric modelling, and developed a methodological approach to forecasting of the main indicators of sustainable development of regional systems and justification of managerial decisions.
Relevance The results of the study allow the use of the developed model for evaluation, comparative analysis and forecasting of the level of development sustainability of regional systems.

Keywords: sustainable development, modeling, dimensions, sustainability, econometric equation system

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