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Assessing the impact of investments on the size of the gross regional product

Zaretskaya V.G. candidate of economics, associate professor of chairs of financial management, All-Russian state distance learning institute of finance and economics, branch Kursk ( zar.59@mail.ru )

Osinevich L.M. associate professor, All-Russian state distance learning institute of finance and economics, branch Kursk ( osinevich@rambler.ru )

Journal: Regional Economics: Theory and Practice, #46, 2010

This article presents a model of Koyck with an infinite number of distributed lags. On the base of this model  the long-dated investment multiplier was calculated. With help of this model we have also calculated term, during which past investment influence the size of current GRP.


Methodological aspects of measurement of factors of economic growth (case study of regionals of Central federal district)

Osinevich L.M. associate professor, All-Russian state distance learning institute of finance and economics, branch Kursk ( osinevich@rambler.ru )

Journal: National Interests: Priorities and Security, #32, 2011

In post-crisis period the most important for Russian economics is return to the line of stable development. Qualitative stable growth is possible only with reasonable macroeconomic policy, considering world experience and appropriate to economic circumstances simulators. The study offers methods of conceptual statistical estimation of factors of economic growth in regions, of growth process itself and of its results. On the basis of grouping and production functions the ways of increase of effectiveness of regional economies are offered.


Comparative evaluation of types of economic activity efficiency (case study Kursk oblast)

Osinevich L.M. associate professor, All-Russian state distance learning institute of finance and economics, branch Kursk ( osinevich@rambler.ru )

Journal: National Interests: Priorities and Security, #9, 2011

In conditions of adoption of innovation development type, efficiency becomes a very important factor of accelerated socio-economic growth of Russian regions and national economy. In this research the overall economic efficiency of Kursk Oblast and primary economic and investment activities of the region are being analyzed. The summarizing index of current outlays effectiveness, productive and investment activity has been assessed for the most effective types of economic activity. Ways to increase efficiency of the regional economy have been suggested.


Analysis of conjugality and divorce rate in context of demographic problems solving (on example of the Kursk region)

Osinevich l.M. PhD in Economics, Associate Professor of department "Higher Mathematics and Statistics", the Kursk branch of the Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation ( llm176@mail.ru )

Journal: National Interests: Priorities and Security, #45, 2012

On the basis of the data of the population census and registry offices there is the analysis of conjugality and divorce rate of the population of the Kursk region in the context of demographic problems solving. The basic characteristics of conjugality and divorce rate are calculated, the conclusions about the prospects of the improvement of the demographic situation are made. The basic ways and programs of strengthening of the institute of family and marriage in the region are examined.


Decomposition of regional growth factors (on example of changes in gross value added in the Kursk region)

Zareshkay V.G. PhD in Economic Sciences, Associate Professor of department "Financial Management", the Finance University under the Government of the Russian Federation, Kursk branch ( zar.59@mail.ru )

Dremova L.A. PhD in Economic Sciences, Associate Professor, Director, the Finance university under the Government of the Russian Federation, Kursk branch ( main.kursk@vzfei.ru )

Osinevich l.M. PhD in Economic Sciences, Associate Professor of department "Statistics", the Finance University under the Government of the Russian Federation, Kursk branch ( llm176@mail.ru )

Journal: Financial Analytics: Science and Experience, #42, 2012

Economic growth of the region is caused by a combination of economic growth (recession) of separate types of economic activity and various factors. An object of research of article is decomposition of economic growth of the region by types of economic activity and on factors of number busy, labor productivity, and structural shifts.


Industry convergence in labor productivity as guarantee of susceptibility of Russian economy to innovation

Zaretskaya V.G. PhD in Economics, Associate Professor of the Department of Economics and Finance, the Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, the Kursk Branch ( zar.59@mail.ru )

Dremova L.A. PhD in Economics, Associate Professor of the Department of Management and Marketing, the Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, the Kursk Branch ( LDremova@fa.ru )

Osinevich L.M. PhD in Economics, Associate Professor of the Department of Economics and Finance, the Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, the Kursk Branch ( llm176@mail.ru )

Journal: Regional Economics: Theory and Practice, #33, 2013

In the article Calculations of labor productivity for types of economic activity in the regions of Russia are given. Processes of divergence and convergence of separate types of the economic activity by the level of labor productivityare considered. It is revealed the advantage of labor productivity in extracting types of the economic activity to treatment, which is an obstacle for innovative regional development.


Identifying factors of economic growth in the region of dominant economic activities (on example, the Kursk region)

Osinevich L.M. PhD in Economics, Associate Professor of department "Statistics", the All-Russian Correspondence Financial and Economic Institute ( llm176@mail.ru )

Dremova L.A. PhD in Economics, Associate Professor of department "Business Economics and Business", the All-Russian Correspondence Financial and Economic Institute ( main.kursk@vzfei.ru )

Zaretsky V.G. PhD in Economics, Associate Professor of department "Financial Management", the All-Russian Correspondence Financial and Economic Institute ( zar.59@mail.ru )

Journal: National Interests: Priorities and Security, #28, 2012

On the basis of the analysis of economic features of the Kursk area in a context of the forthcoming modernization dominating types of economic activity are revealed. On them decomposition of factors of growth by means of production function is carried out. The directions of modernization of economy of the region are offered. It is noted that transition to innovative model of growth needs structural maneuver in the direction of increase in investment and innovative budget expenses on development of the human capital.


Creation of production function of the region taking into account an innovative component

Zaretskaya V.G. Candidate of Economic Sciences, Associate Professor, the Department of Economy and Finance, the Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, the Kursk branch ( zar.59@mail.ru )

Dremova L.A. Candidate of Economic Sciences, Associate Professor, the Department of Management and Marketing, the Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, the Kursk branch ( LDremova@fa.ru )

Osinevich L.M. Candidate of Economic Sciences, Head of the Department of Economy and Finance, the Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, the Kursk branch ( llm176@mail.ru )

Journal: Regional Economics: Theory and Practice, #2, 2014

The article presents the problem of creation of production multiplicative function of the region taking into account such factors, as work, the capital, release of innovative goods is solved. For creation of function the system of the joint equations, influence of an innovative factor on the economic growth of the region. The authors give the assessment of influence of the facts arguments on release of innovative goods in addition.


Analysis and forecast of economic growth in the region: Evidence from the Kursk oblast

Osinevich L.M. Kursk State University, Kursk, Russian Federation ( llm176@mail.ru )

Journal: Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice, #45, 2015

Subject The article considers the technique to assess the quality of economic growth, using the multiplicative models of production functions including and excluding the innovation factor. The assessment period covers three years and focuses on regions of the Russian Federation.
     Objectives The purpose is to build a production multiplicative function of the region, taking into account various factors, like labor, capital, innovation product output.
     Methods In the analysis, I apply index models with endogenous factor (index of physical volume of GRP) and exogenous factors (index of physical volume of capital investments and growth rate of the number of employees involved in the economy for the same period). The model also includes an additional exogenous factor, i.e. the growth rate of innovation product output as an indicator of innovation processes development in the economy.
     Results Using the built models, I assess the need for annual increase in investment and in the number of employees to overcome inertia in development and to increase growth rates up to targets under various scenarios. The study shows that only significant increase in labor productivity, use of innovation in production will help achieving the target indicators of the Program for socio-economic development of the Kursk oblast over 2011–2015.
     Conclusions I performed the quantitative analysis to determine the substitution rate of capital for labor and vice-versa. The study shows the conditions to achieve target indicators of development in the region and throughout the Russian Federation.


Evaluating the economic growth forecast using the production function

Zaretskaya V.G. Kursk Branch of Financial University under Government of Russian Federation, Kursk, Russian Federation ( zar.59@mail.ru )

Osinevich L.M. Kursk Branch of Financial University under Government of Russian Federation, Kursk, Russian Federation ( llm176@mail.ru )

Journal: National Interests: Priorities and Security, #19, 2015

Importance The article examines the methods for evaluating the quality of economic growth using multiplicative models of production functions. The evaluation considers the presence and absence of an innovative factor within a three-year period throughout the regions of the Russian Federation.
     Objectives The research pursues setting up a production multiplicative function of a region, considering various aspects: labor, capital, release of innovative goods. We calculate marginal rates of substituting a growth in capital investment with an increase in the number of the employed throughout the Russian Federation and the Kursk Region, in particular.
     Methods We use index models with an endogenous factor, i.e. an index of a physical amount of Gross Regional Product, and external factors, i.e. indices of a physical amount of investment in the capital stock and growth rates in the employed for the same period. The model also includes an external factor reflecting growth rates of releasing innovative products, as an indicator of the innovative process development in the economy.
     Results We evaluate whether indicators of growth in Gross Regional Product and Gross Domestic Product are balanced and attainable, as planned in the program for social and economic development of the Kursk Region and the 2020 Strategy. The article presents the outcome of the evaluation. Using the models, we review whether the economy needs more investment and employed people in order to go beyond inertial development and accelerate its growth, thus reaching the target indicators, when implementing various development scenarios.
     Conclusions and Relevance Using a quantitative analysis, we determine standards and rates when labor force may be substituted with capital, and vice versa. The article also illustrates conditions for attaining the target indicators of development in the region and the Russian Federation as a whole.


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