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Mathematical model of behavior of participants of license negotiations

Nevolin I.V. candidate of economical sciences, researcher, Central economics and mathematics institute RAS ( i.nevolin@cemi.rssi.ru )

Journal: Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice, #14, 2013

In the article the mathematical model of participants of negotiations on the price of the transaction on technology transfer is presented. Agents are modeled in the form of the problems of linear programming connected among them. Limits of applicability of the model are being quite general, can be adjusted to the conditions of a specific task


Methodology to assess financial relevance and feasibility of innovative projects to create intellectual products

Nevolin I.V. PhD in Economics, Researcher, CEMI RAS ( i.nevolin@cemi.rssi.ru )

Khrustalev O.E. PhD in Economics, Researcher, CEMI RAS ( stalev777@yandex.ru )

Khrustalev J.E. PhD in Economics, General Director Ltd "Trassa" ( stalev@cemi.rssi.ru )

Journal: Financial Analytics: Science and Experience, #11, 2013

In the article the methodological problems of conceptual construction of instrumental methods and tools to assess the financial and economic impact and feasibility of projects to create innovative knowledge products are considered.


Method of predicting revenue from rental movies

Noack N.V. PhD of Psychological Sciences, Leading Researcher, the Central Economics and Mathematics Institute of RAS ( n.noack@mail.ru )

Nevolin I.V. Researcher, the Central Economics and Mathematics Institute of RAS ( i.nevolin@cemi.rssi.ru )

Tatarnikov A.S. Analyst, Ltd "Protera" ( andreyhauz@list.ru )

Journal: Financial Analytics: Science and Experience, #48, 2012

In the article the method of forecasting of a box office of movies on emotional impact on the audience is presented. Respondents were shown the upcoming trailers in movie rentals, and then they fill in a special form. It is established that found that viewers appreciate the emotional component of the trailer when planning going to the movies. The steps to improve the technique.are planned.


Barriers to understanding economic models in management decisions

Noack N.V. PhD in Psychological sciences, leading senior researcher, Central Economics and Mathematics Institute RAS ( n.noack@mail.ru )

Nevolin I.V. leading engineer, Central Economics and Mathematics Institute RAS ( i.nevolin@cemi.rssi.ru )

Journal: National Interests: Priorities and Security, #14, 2012

In the article attempt is made to show that the administrative decisions accepted on the basis of research of economic models, developed at certain assumptions and assumptions, quite often escape from a real context and are generalized. It conducts to emergence various, sometimes estimates contradicting each other that reduces efficiency of decision-making, interferes with achievement of good results of activity as a whole.


The economic aspects of advanced development in field of persistent organic pollutants destruction

Nevolin Ivan V. PhD of Economics Sciences, Senior Scientific Worker, the Central Economic-Mathematical Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences ( i.nevolin@cemi.rssi.ru )

Teveleva Оksana V. PhD of Economics Sciences, Senior Scientific Worker, the Central Economic-Mathematical Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences ( oks.t@mail.ru )

Journal: Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice, #48, 2013

On the example of results in the field of destruction of dangerous chemical compounds it is shown how the criterion of the low price at government procurements shows the inefficiency at implementation of projects which are the public benefit and have to be paid by the state. There is hi-tech development of utilization of resistant organic pollutants, but with their introduction interferes cheaper burial.


Statistical investigation into relations between the monetary policy tools

Mitin I.N. VTB Bank, Moscow, Russian Federation ( mitin.ivan@gmail.com )

Grachev I.D. Central Economics and Mathematics Institute, RAS, Moscow, Russian Federation ( idg19@mail.ru )

Nevolin I.V. Central Economics and Mathematics Institute, RAS, Moscow, Russian Federation ( i.nevolin@cemi.rssi.ru )

Journal: Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice, #1, 2019

Subject The study deals with interrelations between the nominal exchange rate of Russian ruble, the key interest rate and the price of oil.
Objectives The purpose is to verify the hypothesis about coordinated use of instruments of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation, namely the rate of exchange and the key interest rate in changing external environment.
Methods We employ the statistical analysis tools, i.e. evaluation of linear relationship, verification of cointegration of time series of the rate of exchange and oil price. To check the accuracy of the constructed models, we used the Granger causality test, the Dickey–Fuller test (for availability of trend), the Durbin–Watson test statistic and the Jarque-Bera test (for analysis of residuals from a statistical regression), and the Johansen test (for cointegration).
Results We confirmed the link between the exchange rate of Russian ruble and the oil price, revealed a short-term relation between them in cointegration models. The absence of long-term relation between the exchange rate of Russian ruble and the oil price in cointegration models is somewhat unexpected and contradicts the previous studies. It was reasonable to include the key interest rate in the multi-factor model of the exchange rate of Russian ruble along with the oil price in the form of dammy variables. This model allows identifying the periods of more active use of the key interest rate in the Bank of Russia policy.
Conclusions The presented model enables to estimate quantitative relations between the instruments of the Bank of Russia.


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