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Financial regulation of the long-term economic growth of Russia

Smirnov V.V. I.N. Ulianov Chuvash State University (ChuvSU), Cheboksary, Chuvash Republic, Russian Federation ( v2v3s4@mail.ru )

Mulendeeva A.V. I.N. Ulianov Chuvash State University (ChuvSU), Cheboksary, Chuvash Republic, Russian Federation ( alena-mulendeeva@yandex.ru )

Journal: Finance and Credit, #2, 2019

Subject This article considers the parameters of financial regulation of the long-term economic growth of Russia.
Objectives The article aims to identify the main instruments of financial regulation and their impact on the long-term economic growth of Russia.
Methods For the study, we used a systems approach and the methods of statistical analysis.
Results The article defines and presents parameters of financial stimulation of economic development of the Russian Federation for a long-term period.
Relevance The results of the study may be used by the State authorities to amend the relevant Federal laws.


Regional clustering of the Russian higher education

Smirnov V.V. I.N. Ulianov Chuvash State University (ChuvSU), Cheboksary, Chuvash Republic, Russian Federation ( v2v3s4@mail.ru )

Mulendeeva A.V. I.N. Ulianov Chuvash State University (ChuvSU), Cheboksary, Chuvash Republic, Russian Federation ( alena-mulendeeva@yandex.ru )

Journal: Regional Economics: Theory and Practice, #2, 2019

Subject This article deals with the issues related to the topic of clusters of the Russian regional system of higher education.
Objectives The article aims to identify and describe the clusters mentioned.
Methods For the study, we used a systems approach and clustering method.
Results The article shows a stable tendency of large structures in the market of educational services to expand their influence on the Russian regions through branches.
Conclusions The prospects of regional clustering of the Russian higher education point out the redistribution of educational services in favor of large higher educational institutions through the implementation of a broad branch network and the Uniform State Exam opportunity.


Forecasting regional poverty

Smirnov V.V. I.N. Ulianov Chuvash State University (ChuvSU), Cheboksary, Chuvash Republic, Russian Federation ( v2v3s4@mail.ru )

Mulendeeva A.V. I.N. Ulianov Chuvash State University (ChuvSU), Cheboksary, Chuvash Republic, Russian Federation ( alena-mulendeeva@yandex.ru )

Journal: Regional Economics: Theory and Practice, #9, 2019

Subject This article examines the changes in regional poverty measures.
Objectives The article aims to forecast the level of regional poverty.
Methods For the study, we used a statistical analysis, reviewing the results of various scientific studies on regional poverty and self-sufficiency.
Results Assessing the interdependent factors of regional poverty helps identify consistently poor and self-sufficient regions. The consolidated forecast of regional poverty asymmetry makes it possible to form a hierarchy of trend weight of mutually conditioned factors and reveal the problem of interregional migration associated with low incomes and tensions in the labor market.
Conclusions The proposed approach for predicting regional poverty extends scientific knowledge in the field of regional planning and spatial development.


A systems analysis of the Russian regions' life philosophy

Smirnov V.V. I.N. Ulianov Chuvash State University (ChuvSU), Cheboksary, Chuvash Republic, Russian Federation ( walera712006@mail.ru )

Mulendeeva A.V. I.N. Ulianov Chuvash State University (ChuvSU), Cheboksary, Chuvash Republic, Russian Federation ( alena-mulendeeva@yandex.ru )

Journal: Regional Economics: Theory and Practice, #6, 2019

Objectives This article aims to conduct a systems analysis of the views and attitudes to life of the Russian regions taking into account the relevant nonlinear equations, identifying a group of leading regions, as well as determining the possibility to intensify the motivation.
Methods For the study, we used a systems analysis, economic laws, and the research findings in the field of equilibrium and non-equilibrium development of the economy.
Results On the basis of creation of an interdependent set of nonlinear equations of various indices, the article reveals the leading regions with passive, negative, and proactive attitudes and approaches to life.
Conclusions The essence of the Russian regions' life stance is considered as a system-level structure capable of adapting to new challenges. The criterion of assigning the region to a certain position is the equilibrium paradigm, realized by means of a set of nonlinear equations of the basic socio-economic indices growth.


Development opportunities of the G20 nations and Russia

Smirnov V.V. I.N. Ulianov Chuvash State University (Chuv SU), Cheboksary, Chuvash Republic, Russian Federation ( v2v3s4@mail.ru )

Mulendeeva A.V. I.N. Ulianov Chuvash State University (Chuv SU), Cheboksary, Chuvash Republic, Russian Federation ( alena-mulendeeva@yandex.ru )

Journal: National Interests: Priorities and Security, #1, 2019

Subject The article discusses growth drivers of the G20 and represents the cluster and neural network analysis of development opportunities of the G20.
Objectives The research identifies development opportunities of the G20 nations and outlines aspects for cooperation with Russia.
Methods The research is based on a systems approach, cluster and neural network analysis.
Results The cluster and neural network analysis involves the 2018–2023 forecast data on growth drivers of the G20 in terms of the International Monetary Fund. Cluster analysis revealed priority development drivers of the G20, while neural network analysis discerns three levels of their significance.
Conclusions and Relevance As part of the G20, Russia may place stake on Gross Domestic Product and gross national saving, which may be reinforced in cooperation with Indonesia, Germany, India and South Africa, Canada, Japan, Argentina, Italy, Saudi Arabia respectively. The findings can be reasonably used to establish international economic relationships and reduce the adverse effect of globalization challenges and their consequences.


Analyzing changes in financial soundness of the BRICS countries

Smirnov V.V. I.N. Ulianov Chuvash State University, Cheboksary, Chuvash Republic, Russian Federation ( walera712006@mail.ru )

Mulendeeva A.V. I.N. Ulianov Chuvash State University, Cheboksary, Chuvash Republic, Russian Federation ( alena-mulendeeva@yandex.ru )

Journal: Finance and Credit, #6, 2018

Subject The article reviews the financial soundness of the BRICS countries.
Objectives Our aim is to analyze changes in the BRICS countries' solvency with evaluation of the growth rate (GR) of a set of mutually conditioned financial and economic factors and subsequent polynomial approximation.
Methods The methodology of the study rests on fundamental provisions of the theory and practice of factor analysis, financial and economic laws, findings in the field of equilibrium and non-equilibrium development of countries in the world economy.
Results The analysis of trends in the financial soundness of the BRICS countries with GR assessment and polynomial approximation of liquid bank reserves versus assets, broad money supply, exchange rate, deflator index, inflation rate, consumer prices, interest rates on loans (private sector) of listed domestic companies unveiled countries with high and low GR for 2006–2016, as well as high and low instability by absolute amplitude value.
Conclusions It is practicable to use the findings in the process of formation and adjustment of international policy and foreign trade with the BRICS countries, and for improving the mechanism of their implementation.


An economic analysis of trends in the Russian demography

Smirnov V.V. I.N. Ulianov Chuvash State University, Cheboksary, Chuvash Republic, Russian Federation ( walera712006@mail.ru )

Mulendeeva A.V. I.N. Ulianov Chuvash State University, Cheboksary, Chuvash Republic, Russian Federation ( alena-mulendeeva@yandex.ru )

Journal: Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice, #3, 2019

Subject The article deals with the Russian economic demography.
Objectives The purpose of the study is to perform an economic analysis of the Russian demography and identify determinants of its dynamics.
Methods We employ the systems approach, using the methods of statistical, cluster, and non-parametric analysis.
Results We consider the methodology for economic analysis of trends in the demography in the context of spatial stability of demographic processes and economic growth. The paper shows that the per capita GDP growth positively correlates with the difference between the working-age population and total population growth. However, it negatively correlates with coefficients of child and old-age dependency. Low susceptibility of wage increase to changes in the level of employment is a negative phenomenon for economic growth, whereas a reduction in income inequality, rise in labor productivity, and labor force mobility are positive ones.
Conclusions The Russian economic demography dynamics is determined by uneven population density and a shift in the balance of migration, which affects significantly the average age of the population. In the future, this will substantially strengthen requirements for unemployment and total employment level.


A comprehensive analysis of Russian crime and conviction records

Smirnov V.V. I.N. Ulianov Chuvash State University (ChuvSU), Cheboksary, Chuvash Republic, Russian Federation ( v2v3s4@mail.ru )

Mulendeeva A.V. I.N. Ulianov Chuvash State University (ChuvSU), Cheboksary, Chuvash Republic, Russian Federation ( alena-mulendeeva@yandex.ru )

Journal: National Interests: Priorities and Security, #2, 2019

Subject The article discusses the crime and punishment in Russia.
Objectives The research aims to determine the sequence of agglomeration and importance of crime and conviction rates in the Russian Federation.
Methods The research draws upon a comprehensive approach involving cluster and neural network analysis.
Results Using the cluster and neural network analysis, we determined the agglomeration sequence and importance of criminality and conviction indicators in the Russian Federation. The findings allow to systemically consider the issue of decreasing the crime rate with the synergistic effect which is reciprocally generated by respective crimes and commensurate punishment. The comprehensive approach broadens hands-on knowledge of possibilities to decrease crimes and enhance the law and security protection activities inter alia by reducing a share of federal expenditures.
Conclusions and Relevance We identified key areas for preventing the main types of crime in terms of ascending hierarchical severity among alumni and students, men aged 30–49 and the unemployed, and determined the principal punishment. Governmental authorities can use the findings to plan crime curbing activities.


Outlining the foreign trade relations of the region

Smirnov V.V. I.N. Ulianov Chuvash State University (Chuv SU), Cheboksary, Chuvash Republic, Russian Federation ( v2v3s4@mail.ru )

Mulendeeva A.V. I.N. Ulianov Chuvash State University (Chuv SU), Cheboksary, Chuvash Republic, Russian Federation ( alena-mulendeeva@yandex.ru )

Journal: Regional Economics: Theory and Practice, #4, 2019

Subject The article gives an insight into foreign trade activities of the Russian regions and international trade relations of the region.
Objectives The research devises a cross model of foreign trade relations of the region.
Methods We apply a systems approach and conduct a cluster analysis.
Results We provide the rationale for studying foreign trade relations of the Russian regions since it concerns a decrease in the purchasing power of people and investment loans, underestimated role of foreign trade. As a result of the cluster analysis of the Russian foreign trade data based on the customs statistics on imports and exports and their agglomeration per country, we identify strategic trade relationships of the regions, indicating popular commodities and further lines for the economic development.
Conclusions To synchronize foreign trade relationships of the Russian regions, imports and exports should be coordinated through performance-based management so as to match their possibilities and needs. Performance-based management is based on the IDF0 cross model of trade relationships, which is adjusted for the customs statistics on foreign trade of the Russian Federation.


Transregional conflict of interests in the Russian economy

Smirnov V.V. I.N. Ulianov Chuvash State University, Cheboksary, Chuvash Republic, Russian Federation ( walera712006@mail.ru )

Mulendeeva A.V. I.N. Ulianov Chuvash State University, Cheboksary, Chuvash Republic, Russian Federation ( alena-mulendeeva@yandex.ru )

Journal: National Interests: Priorities and Security, #6, 2018

Importance The article focuses on the transregional conflict of interests in the Russian economy.
Objectives We conduct a systems analysis of what inflicts the transregional conflict of interests in the Russian economy due to unequal growth rate of Gross Regional Product per capita, Industrial Production Index, number of enterprises and organizations, unemployment, demographic burden.
Methods We apply fundamental principles of the theory and practice of a systems analysis, economic laws, scientific findings on the equal and unequal development of economy, origination and resolution of conflicts.
Results We identify regions that experience conflicts and not. In the Russian economy, the transregional conflict of interests results from controversies of the State policy for sustaining highly subsidized regions in the long-term planning horizon. This attributes the other regions to the conflict group.
Conclusions and Relevance The substance of conflict-driven regions is that they are reluctant to break up with their highly-subsidized status impeding real investment. Regions should avoid the passive development, curb any reasons for it, thus paving the way for reducing the number of conflict-laden regions. The findings can be used to form and adjust the national policy for economic stimulation of the Russian regions and improving the respective mechanism.


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