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Spectral assessment of risks at statistical research of economic processes

Matveev B.А. PhD of Technical Sciences, Associate Professor, the Department of Economy and Management of Projects, the Southern Ural State University (the National Research University) ( uprariska@mail.ru )

Journal: Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice, #37, 2013

In the article the administrative decision based on statistical research of economic process, is accepted in the conditions of uncertainty and risk. For a quantitative assessment of risks it is offered to use a spectral indicator which considers nature of behavior of the economic size connected with risk and doesn't demand knowledge of the law of its distribution.


Stages of statistical research and risks

Sosnenko L.S. Doctor of Economics Sciences, Professor of the Department of Accounting Andfinance, Chelyabinsk State Academy of Agroengineering, Chelyabinsk, Russian Federation ( sosnenkol@mail.ru )

Matveev B.A. PhD in Technicals, Associate Professor of the Department of Economics and Projects Management, South Ural State University (National Research University), Chelyabinsk, Russian Federation ( uprariska@mail.ru )

Journal: Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice, #10, 2014

In article stages of full statistical research are considered. At a stage of the analysis of data it is offered to estimate the risks connected with results of research and possible versions of the administrative decision, made on the basis of this research.


Small industrial business' influence on an economic development level

Matveev V.V. Udmurt State University, Izhevsk, Udmurt Republic, Russian Federation ( mtv956@yandex.ru )

Ovchinnikova A.V. Udmurt State University, Izhevsk, Udmurt Republic, Russian Federation ( o_anna01@mail.ru )

Journal: Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice, #21, 2014

The article presents the results of the research of interaction of small industrial enterprises with the exchange, social and institutional systems of more than thirty countries. The study reveals the basic parameters of the systems which have significant correlation connection with the parameters of functioning of small industrial enterprises. The article determines a difference in economic development levels of the countries which depend on participation of this particular sector of the economy in a national turnover.


Improving the methods of statistical evaluation of innovation activity results

Matveev V.A. National Research Lobachevsky State University of Nizhny Novgorod, Nizhny Novgorod, Russian Federation ( super.vma@yandex.ru )

Ovcharov A.O. National Research Lobachevsky State University of Nizhny Novgorod, Nizhny Novgorod, Russian Federation ( anton19742006@yandex.ru )

Journal: Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice, #9, 2016

Subject The article considers the mechanisms to measure innovation performance in statistical studies.
Objectives The main purpose is to provide a rationale for practical application of updated methods of statistical evaluation of innovation activity results.
Methods The study draws on the general scientific methods of analysis, comparison, generalization, and special statistical methods for economic data processing.
Results The paper shows the role of methods of objective statistical evaluation in practical activities involving the creation and implementation of innovation. We revealed certain problems related to inefficient application of the methodology for calculating the cost of acquisition and disposal of tangible and intangible objects of fixed capital, proved inefficient use of methods for replacement cost computation and the need for their improvement. We also refined and systematized the system of indicators of innovation activities, developed a unique method for calculating the market value of fixed capital objects on the basis of official statistical data and expert estimates.
Conclusions There is a need to increase the role of market component when assessing the value of fixed assets, to use improved methods to determine their fair value, and to apply a supplemented system of quantitative statistical characteristics of innovation activities. These measures should become a significant factor in improving the socio-economic stability.


Studying pension payments in the compulsory social insurance system under increasing risks to financial stability

Ovcharov A.O. National Research Lobachevsky State University of Nizhny Novgorod (UNN), Nizhny Novgorod, Russian Federation ( anton19742006@yandex.ru )

Matveev V.A. National Research Lobachevsky State University of Nizhny Novgorod (UNN), Nizhny Novgorod, Russian Federation ( super.vma@yandex.ru )

Journal: Finance and Credit, #5, 2019

Subject The article scrutinizes the current system of pension payments, which rests on overstated pay-as-you-go financed pension contributions. The study focuses on developing the new approaches to pension resources management in the system of compulsory social insurance.
Objectives The primary purpose is to define urgent problems in the Russian pension system and devise an updated methodology for calculating pension benefits, considering the demographic and remuneration factors.
Methods The study employs general scientific methods, like comparison, analysis, synthesis, abstraction, and special statistical methods for economic data interpretation.
Results We disclose key issues in the retirement savings management that are associated with imbalances in the pension system and inefficient use of pension funds; underpin the importance of improving the management of pension resources through decreasing the reliance of future pensioners' welfare on the distributive element and increasing the insurance element and the funded element that are guaranteed by the State. The paper presents a tested methodology to calculate the pay-as-you-go financed part of pension payments in conditions of the proposed stagewise differentiation of insurance rates over 2018–2050.
Conclusions We propose to redistribute the portion of high revenues to the pay-as-you-go financed part of pension payments (the guaranteed minimum) to reduce the increasing deficit, rather than to introduce a progressive scale of personal income tax. It is also necessary to neutralize the impact of age structure and demographic factor by balancing the revenues and expenditures of the demographic compensation fund.


Improving the method for calculating insurance rates as part of the State social insurance under economic volatility

Ovcharov A.O. Lobachevsky State University of Nizhny Novgorod - National Research University, Nizhny Novgorod, Russian Federation ( anton19742006@yandex.ru )

Matveev V.A. Lobachevsky State University of Nizhny Novgorod - National Research University, Nizhny Novgorod, Russian Federation ( super.vma@yandex.ru )

Journal: Financial Analytics: Science and Experience, #23, 2015

Importance Financial and economic volatility requires developing and implementing principles for safe and break-even investing financial resources that have special social significance. The article discloses key issues of the public finance governance system. The research focuses on the contemporary methods for calculating insurance rates as part of compulsory social insurance.
     Methods The article draws upon general research methods of analysis, comparison, generalization, and special statistical methods for processing economic data on compulsory social insurance.
     Results The research displays the role the public extra-budgetary funds management system plays, and identifies some challenges relating to the unbalanced and inefficient use of public extra-budgetary funds. The research also demonstrates how ineffectively extra-budgetary funds are used, and the need to improve public extra-budgetary funds management. We propose a new set of principles and original methods for assessing insurance rates using official statistical data and expert evaluations. The article analyzes whether it is possible to put into practice a model for managing public extra-budgetary funds that would include factors describing the socio-economic situation and political circumstances in the country and abroad. The article reflects the main components, methods for quantitative evaluation of factors, and the principles of forming performance indicators.
     Conclusions and Relevance It is necessary to enhance the role of insurance in public extra-budgetary funds, apply the improved methods for assessing insurance rates as part of compulsory social insurance. Such measures should considerably contribute to socio-economic stability.


A new approach to regulating the market of retirement savings during economic volatility

Matveev V.A. Lobachevsky State University of Nizhny Novgorod - National Research University, Nizhny Novgorod, Russian Federation ( super.vma@yandex.ru )

Ovcharov A.O. Lobachevsky State University of Nizhny Novgorod - National Research University, Nizhny Novgorod, Russian Federation ( anton19742006@yandex.ru )

Journal: Financial Analytics: Science and Experience, #22, 2015

Importance Economic and financial volatility requires devising a new approach to managing retirement savings and implementing it into public finance management. Retirement savings constitute a strategic source of long-term investment in the national economy, being especially significant. The research examines contemporary methods for calculating insurance tariffs as part of the compulsory social insurance system.
     Objectives The objectives of the research include a critical analysis of the retirement savings market as supported with statistical data; evaluating the efficiency of the governmental and non-governmental reform of retirement resource management; analyzing a set of activities for improving the State's responsibility for retirement savings.
     Methods The article uses general scientific methods of comparison, analysis, generalization, abstraction, as well as special statistical methods for economic data processing and computing generalized indicators.
     Results We unveil key issues of the existing retirement savings management system, which stem from the unbalanced and inconsistent nature of the retirement system and inefficient use of retirement funds. The article indicates what role the retirement savings system should play in the public finance system. The research substantiates the need to improve the retirement savings management and suggests a new approach to managing them, and an original method for calculating the guaranteed rate of return using official statistical data and expert assessments. We review whether the retirement savings management model that implies a set of socio-economic activities is practicable. The article reflects basic components of the method and quantitative characteristics of the retirement savings management process in relation to an analysis of specific socio-economic processes.
     Conclusions and Relevance We conclude it is necessary to implement the new approach to the retirement savings management, increase responsibility of the State and private managing companies for safe-keeping of retirement savings, application of the improved methods for determining the guaranteed rate of return on investment of retirement funds. This set of activities should contribute to stabilizing the entire macroeconomic situation, rather than enforcing constitutional rights of people only.


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