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Economic and mathematical modeling of comparative efficiency of VAT and turnover tax

ISSUE 6, JUNE 2025

Received: 13 March 2025

Accepted: 17 April 2025

Available online: 17 June 2025

Subject Heading: NATIONAL INTERESTS

JEL Classification: С51, E63, H26

Pages: 4-24

https://doi.org/10.24891/eqgmkv

Ivan D. GRACHEV Central Economics and Mathematics Institute, RAS (CEMI RAS), Moscow, Russian Federation
idg19@mail.ru

https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1815-5898

Sergei N. LARIN Corresponding author, Central Economics and Mathematics Institute, RAS (CEMI RAS), Moscow, Russian Federation
sergey77707@rambler.ru

https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5296-5865

Nataliya V. NOAKK Central Economics and Mathematics Institute, RAS (CEMI RAS), Moscow, Russian Federation
n.noack@mail.ru

https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8696-5767

Subject. This article focuses on the issues of optimizing the tax system of the Russian Federation.
Objectives. The article aims to conduct a digital experimental verification of the basic principles underlying the tax system of Russia based on the Washington Consensus.
Methods. For the study, we used logical, statistical and economic analyses, as well as a comparative approach and economic-mathematical modeling.
Results. The article identifies the main advantages and disadvantages of using VAT and turnover tax in the context of modern Russian conditions.
Conclusions. The choice of using VAT in the Russian taxation system is not justified. Its replacement with a categorized turnover tax is economically viable.

Keywords: turnover tax, VAT, digital modeling

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