Subject. Features of modelling and assessing investment risks in domestic medical electronics under priority-driven import substitution development. Objectives. To identify key factors affecting the financial stability of investment projects in the sector and to develop approaches for minimizing specific risks. Methods. Economic-mathematical modelling was used. Results. It has been established that integrating import substitution factors into investment analysis helps reduce cash flow volatility and increases the likelihood of reaching the break-even point. The developed scenario forecasting methodology shows that accounting for import substitution specifics not only reduces vulnerability to external shocks but also helps identify new opportunities for sustainable development of medical electronics. An economic-mathematical model has been proposed that incorporates import substitution into investment risk analysis. Scope of Application. The findings can serve as a practical guide for investors, developers, and innovators in domestic medical electronics amid economic uncertainty. The presented methods are suitable for application in related high-tech sectors. Conclusions. Accounting for import substitution factors reduces external risks and opens up new opportunities for the sector.
Chernyaev E.V. [Analysis and evaluation of strategic planning documents for the electronic and radio-electronic industry]. Vestnik Astrakhanskogo gosudarstvennogo tekhnicheskogo universiteta. Seriya: Ekonomika, 2024, no. 2, pp. 40–47. (In Russ.) DOI: 10.24143/2073-5537-2024-2-40-47 EDN: XDVIDT
Nemtsova N.V., Staurskii E.S., Staurskii S.S. [Transformation of public procurement principles in modern conditions: from price competition to technological sovereignty]. Upravlencheskii uchet, 2025, no. 1, pp. 307–317. (In Russ.) EDN: CPPDWU
Popovich L.G., Drogovoz P.A., Kalachanov V.G. Upravlenie innovatsionno-investitsionnoi deyatel’nost’yu predpriyatiya oboronno-promyshlennogo kompleksa v usloviyakh diversifikatsii [Management of innovation and investment activities of a defence industrial complex enterprise under diversification]. Moscow, Vash format Publ., 2018, 228 p. (In Russ.) EDN: VWEAGG
Ovcharenko V., Shiboldenkov V.A., Drogovoz P.A. [Import-verified digital adaptation business architectures in the conditions of sanctions]. Gorizonty ekonomiki, 2022, no. 6, pp. 99–109. (In Russ.) EDN: UISAIA
Drogovoz P.A., Shiboldenkov V.A., Kharin N.I. [Consideration of technology maturity and environment impact factors when evaluating investment projects in the oil and gas industry]. Audit i finansovyi analiz, 2021, no. 2, pp. 78–84. (In Russ.) DOI: 10.38097/afa.2021.74.86.041 EDN: BPEMWE
Abdikeev N.M. [Import substitution in high-tech industries under external sanctions]. Upravlencheskie nauki, 2022, vol. 12, no. 3, pp. 53–69. (In Russ.) DOI: 10.26794/2304-022X-2022-12-3-53-69 EDN: WUOKSJ
Shabykova M.A. [Directions for the development of Russian industry in the context of sanctions restrictions]. Finansovye rynki i banki, 2023, no. 1, pp. 115–120. (In Russ.) EDN: EPHVYN
Demkina A.E. [The evolution of digital medicine. World and domestic experience]. Vestnik Moskovskogo universiteta. Seriya 21: Upravlenie (gosudarstvo i obshchestvo), 2023, vol. 20, no. 2, pp. 3–26. (In Russ.) DOI: 10.55959/MSU2073-2643-21-2023-2-3-26 EDN: HJNWYC
Tavberidze K.Yu. [Digital technologies and digital marketing in the field of Russian healthcare]. Obshchestvennoe zdorov’e i zdravookhranenie, 2025, no. 1, pp. 45–50. (In Russ.) DOI: 10.56685/18120555_2025_84_1_45 EDN: NKFBVF
Drogovoz P.A., Bratishcheva E.N. [Model for comprehensive optimization of direct and portfolio investments]. Ekonomika i predprinimatel’stvo, 2019, no. 9, pp. 709–719. (In Russ.) EDN: QHRLWU
Gutenev A.V., Kochkin I.A., Stepanov A.V. [Comparative analysis of implementation of Black-Scholes and Cox-Ross-Rubinstein models for real option valuation of investment projects in industry]. Ekonomika i predprinimatel’stvo, 2019, no. 4, pp. 535–543. (In Russ.) EDN: MMJEEM
Pavlov M.A., Shiboldenkov V.A. [Cognitive approach to business intelligence for assessing digital security risks when deploying new technologies]. Ekonomika, predprinimatel’stvo i pravo, 2025, vol. 15, no. 3, pp. 1433–1452. (In Russ.) DOI: 10.18334/epp.15.3.122783 EDN: XZLKLN
Pavlov M.A., Shiboldenkov V.A. [The approach of risk-controlling cyber threats and ensuring the digital security of the organization]. Kontrolling, 2024, no. 3, pp. 70–78. (In Russ.) EDN: TUJKDB
Gorlacheva E.N., Shiboldenkov V.A., Gertsik Yu.G. Kognitivnaya ekonomika [Cognitive economics]. Moscow, Pervoe ekonomicheskoe izdatel’stvo Publ., 2024, 184 p. (In Russ.) DOI: 10.18334/9785912925047 EDN: LHXWXL
