+7 925 966 4690, 9am6pm (GMT+3), Monday – Friday
ИД «Финансы и кредит»

JOURNALS

  

FOR AUTHORS

  

SUBSCRIBE

    
Finance and Credit
 

The relationship between monetary policy and macroeconomic stability in Russia

ISSUE 6, JUNE 2025

Received: 9 January 2025

Accepted: 20 January 2025

Available online: 26 June 2025

Subject Heading: MONETARY ACCOMMODATION

JEL Classification: Е42, Е50, Е52, Е58

Pages: 208-224

https://doi.org/10.24891/ndyweh

Valerii V. SMIRNOV I.N. Ulianov Chuvash State University (ChuvSU), Cheboksary, Chuvash Republic, Russian Federation
v2v3s4@mail.ru

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6198-3157

Subject. This article discusses the issues of monetary policy and macroeconomic stability in Russia.
Objectives. The article aims to find the relationship between monetary policy and macroeconomic stability in Russia.
Methods. For the study, I used analysis and synthesis, special economic and mathematical methods, in particular, and correlation and regression analysis.
Results. The article reads of incorrect application of the key rate by the Bank of Russia to increase the real cost of borrowing for the inflation targeting purpose, and the risks of accelerating inflation if monetary authorities adjust the volatility of the gross domestic product by reducing the exchange rate.
Conclusions and Relevance. The article shows that the Bank of Russia's measures aimed at ensuring macroeconomic stability, while pursuing the goals to maintain sustainable economic growth and control inflation, generally have a negative impact on the business environment, provoking a reduction in investment activity. The study results can be of interest to a wide range of financial market entities and society as a whole. The results obtained will contribute to the formation and implementation of scientifically based business decisions, as well as correctly predict changes in economic processes.

Keywords: exchange rate, monetary policy, key rate, macroeconomic stability, inflation targeting

References:

  1. Deng C., Wu J. Macroeconomic downside risk and the effect of monetary policy. Finance Research Letters, 2023, vol. 54, 103803. DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2023.103803
  2. Taylor J.B. Discretion versus policy rules in practice. Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 1993, vol. 39, pp. 195–214. DOI: 10.1016/0167-2231(93)90009-L
  3. Arefeva A., Arefyev N. Playing by the Taylor rules or sticking to Friedman's policy: A new approach to monetary policy identification. Economic Modelling, 2025, vol. 143, 106966. DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106966 EDN: HBRMRC
  4. Gertler M., Gilchrist S. What Happened: Financial Factors in the Great Recession. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2018, vol. 32, no. 3, pp. 3–30. DOI: 10.1257/jep.32.3.3
  5. Ludvigson S.C., Ma S., Ng S. Uncertainty and Business Cycles: Exogenous Impulse or Endogenous Response? American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2021, vol. 13, no. 4, pp. 369–410. DOI: 10.1257/mac.20190171 EDN: ECBEOB
  6. Bernstein J., Plante M., Richter A.W., Throckmorton N.A. Countercyclical Fluctuations in Uncertainty are Endogenous. Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Working Paper, 2021, vol. 2021, iss. 2109. EDN: EWZHKA
  7. Arestis P., Sawyer M. The ‘new economics' and policies for financial stability. International Review of Applied Economics, 2012, vol. 26, iss. 2, pp. 147–160. DOI: 10.1080/02692171.2011.640314
  8. Borio C., Zhu H. Capital regulation, risk-taking and monetary policy: A missing link in the transmission mechanism? Journal of Financial Stability, 2012, vol. 8, iss. 4, pp. 236–251. DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2011.12.003
  9. Cecchetti S.G., Li L. Do Capital Adequacy Requirements Matter for Monetary Policy? Economic Inquiry, 2008, vol. 46, iss. 4, pp. 643–659. DOI: 10.1111/j.1465-7295.2007.00085.x
  10. Leeper E.M. Equilibria under ‘active' and ‘passive' monetary and fiscal policies. Journal of Monetary Economics, 1991, vol. 27, iss. 1, pp. 129–147. DOI: 10.1016/0304-3932(91)90007-B
  11. Magris F., Onori D. Taylor and fiscal rules: When do they stabilize the economy? Mathematical Social Sciences, 2024, vol. 128, pp. 68–89. DOI: 10.1016/j.mathsocsci.2024.01.004 EDN: KBCGLG
  12. Buch C.M., Eickmeier S., Prieto E. Banking deregulation, macroeconomic dynamics and monetary policy. Journal of Financial Stability, 2022, vol. 63, 101057. DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2022.101057 EDN: SUYFDA
  13. Kartaev F.S., Medvedev I.D. [Monetary Policy and the Pass-Through Effect of Oil Prices to Inflation]. Voprosy Ekonomiki, 2020, no. 8, pp. 41–50. (In Russ.) DOI: 10.32609/0042-8736-2020-8-41-50 EDN: SYTWLC
  14. Forni M., Gambetti L., Maffei-Faccioli N., Sala L. The effects of monetary policy on macroeconomic risk. European Economic Review, 2024, vol. 167, 104789. DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104789 EDN: CXYUVH
  15. Rant V., Puc A., Cok M., Verbic M. Macroeconomic impacts of monetary and fiscal policy in the euro area in times of shifting policies: A SVAR approach. Finance Research Letters, 2024, vol. 64, 105406. DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.105406 EDN: VKQJFP
  16. Centinaio A., Pacicco F., Serati M., Venegoni A. Government decisions and macroeconomic stability: Fiscal policies and financial market fluctuations. International Review of Economics & Finance, 2024, vol. 96, part A, 103599. DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.103599 EDN: HLVJIR
  17. Blanchard O.J., Summers L.H. Automatic Stabilizers in a Low-Rate Environment. AEA Papers and Proceedings, 2020, vol. 110, pp. 125–130. DOI: 10.1257/pandp.20201075 EDN: XVFAAE
  18. Ahiadorme J.W. Monetary policy in search of macroeconomic stability and inclusive growth. Research in Economics, 2022, vol. 76, iss. 4, pp. 308–324. DOI: 10.1016/j.rie.2022.08.002 EDN: QPAEOG
  19. Tiunova M.G. [The effects of monetary policy on the Russian financial market behavior]. Daidzhest-Finansy = Digest Finance, 2023, vol. 28, iss. 2, pp. 179–199. (In Russ.) DOI: 10.24891/df.28.2.179 EDN: DNOMUT

View all articles of issue

 

ISSN 2311-8709 (Online)
ISSN 2071-4688 (Print)

Journal current issue

ISSUE 6
JUNE 2025

Archive

Видите ошибку в отчестве? Отключите перевод, это английская версия сайта!