+7 925 966 4690, 9am6pm (GMT+3), Monday – Friday
ИД «Финансы и кредит»

JOURNALS

  

FOR AUTHORS

  

SUBSCRIBE

    
Finance and Credit
 

The key rate influence on the macroeconomic stability of Russia during the 2014 crisis

Vol. 22, Iss. 1, JANUARY 2016

PDF  Article PDF Version

Received: 2 September 2015

Received in revised form: 7 October 2015

Accepted: 13 October 2015

Available online: 17 January 2016

Subject Heading: Financial system

JEL Classification: E31, E43, E58, G17, G28

Pages: 12-26

Kozyr' N.S. Kuban State University, Krasnodar, Krasnodar Krai, Russian Federation
n_k_@mail.ru

Tolstov N.S. Kuban State University, Krasnodar, Krasnodar Krai, Russian Federation
ntolstov@yahoo.com

Importance Refinance rate existed in Russia until November 2013. For present-day Russia, principles of the key rate formation and management are very important.
     Objectives The study aims to identify the influence of the key rate on the Russian Federation economic stability indicators.
     Methods We analyze the period over 2014 and the first half of 2015, considering the behavior of the key rate and loan rates, interest rates on deposits, inflation, oil prices, foreign exchange rates, and foreign capital flight.
     Results The key rate is extremely important for the banking sector. Bank interest rates depend on a number of factors. A rise in the key rate entails a significant reduction in commercial banks’ liquidity and instantly increases bank interest rates. These changes have a negative impact on the macroeconomic stability of Russia.
     Conclusions and Relevance The key rate enables to manage inflation expectations, which are traditionally high in the Russian Federation; to refinance commercial banks at interest rates determined on the basis of an auction for prompt regulation purposes. The key rate will not be sufficient to balance the economy of the Russian Federation due to the fall in world oil prices. The low degree of diversification of the Russian economy makes it dependent on external factors impacting the ruble rate. This significantly limits the effect of the key rate on foreign capital flow and inflation caused by rising prices for imported goods and raw materials under the national currency weakening.

Keywords: economic growth, banking rates, sanctions, inflation targeting, monetary policy

References:

  1. Andryushin S.A. Perspektivy rezhima targetirovaniya inflyatsii v Rossii [Prospects for inflation targeting in Russia]. Voprosy Ekonomiki, 2014, no. 11, pp. 107–121.
  2. Giblova N.M. Vliyanie denezhno-kreditnoi politiki na ekonomicheskii rost v usloviyakh nestabil'nosti [The impact of the monetary policy on economic growth under instability]. Bankovskoe delo = Banking, 2015, no. 2, pp. 14–20.
  3. Burakov D.V. Teoreticheskie osnovy vzaimosvyazi kreditnoi tsiklichnosti i zakonov kredita [Theoretical foundations of the relationship of credit cycles and credit laws]. Bankovskoe delo = Banking, 2015, no. 5, pp. 54–60.
  4. Shevchenko I.V., Korobeinikova M.S. Novye instituty regulirovaniya VED innovatsionnoi ekonomiki Rossii: teoriya i praktika [New institutions regulating the foreign economic activities of the Russian innovative economy: theory and practice]. Ekonomika: teoriya i praktika = Economics: Theory and Practice, 2015, no. 1, pp. 26–38.
  5. Alogoskoufis G. Endogenous Growth and External Balance in a Small Open Economy. Open Economies Review, 2014, vol. 25, no. 3, pp. 571–594. doi: 10.1007/s11079-013-9290-8
  6. Sidorov V.A., Malikova T.E. Destrukturizatsiya investitsionnogo kapitala v tendentsiyakh globalizatsii [Investment capital destructurization under globalization trends]. Ekonomika ustoichivogo razvitiya = The Economics of Sustainable Development, 2012, no. 9, pp. 172–177.
  7. Sukharev A.N. Vliyanie valyutnoi politiki na ob"em i dokhodnost' fonda gosudarstvennykh sberezhenii [The impact of the monetary policy on volume and profitability of the public savings fund]. Problemy sovremennoi ekonomiki = Problems of Modern Economics, 2010, no. 1, pp. 234–238.
  8. Voronov A.A., Darmilova Zh.D., Tsaplev D.N. Sushchnost' i mekhanizm sovremennoi mezhbankovskoi konkurentsii [The essence and the mechanism of modern interbank competition]. Ekonomika i predprinimatel'stvo = Economy and Entrepreneurship, 2015, no. 4-2, pp. 937–943.
  9. Osipov V.S., Khalturin R.A. Intensivnomu razvitiyu otechestvennoi ekonomiki sistemnyi podkhod [A systems approach to intensive development of the national economy]. Ekonomicheskie nauki = Economic Sciences, 2013, no. 100, pp. 7–10.
  10. Alenikov A.S. Formirovanie teoretiko-metodologicheskoi kontseptsii nalogovoi politiki kak uslovie ustoichivogo razvitiya Rossii [Developing the theoretical and methodological concept of the tax policy as a condition for sustainable development of Russia]. Ekonomika ustoichivogo razvitiya = The Economics of Sustainable Development, 2012, no. 11, pp. 15–19.
  11. Belyaeva T.A. Otsenka vliyaniya global'nykh riskov na rynok tsennykh bumag v Rossii [Assessing the impact of global risks on the securities market in Russia]. Ekonomika ustoichivogo razvitiya = The Economics of Sustainable Development, 2014, no. 1, pp. 41–47.
  12. Bogdashev I.V., Gevorkyan S.M., Spirina S.G. Otsenka vliyaniya global'nykh ekonomicheskikh protsessov na osnovnye trendy mirovoi bankovskoi sfery [Assessing the impact of the global economic processes on major trends in the world banking]. Ekonomika i predprinimatel'stvo = Economy and Entrepreneurship, 2014, no. 11-3, pp. 100–104.
  13. Mileta V.I. Sovremennye problemy razvitiya bankovskogo kreditovaniya malogo predprinimatel'stva v Rossii [Modern problems of bank lending to small businesses in Russia]. Ekonomika: teoriya i praktika = Economics: Theory and Practice, 2015, no. 2, pp. 69–75.
  14. Nevskaya N.A. Indikatory makroekonomicheskikh prognozov v usloviyakh tsiklichnosti ekonomiki [Indicators of macroeconomic forecasts under economic cycle conditions]. Ekonomika i predprinimatel'stvo = Economy and Entrepreneurship, 2014, no. 4-2, pp. 52–56.
  15. Mishchenko L.Ya., Listopad M.E. Organizatsionno-metodicheskie osnovy formirovaniya natsional'noi innovatsionnoi sistemy i ee regional'nykh komponentov [Organizational and methodological bases to form the national innovation system and its regional components]. Ekonomika ustoichivogo razvitiya = The Economics of Sustainable Development, 2011, no. 8, pp. 104–116.
  16. Andersen T.B., Malchow-Møller N., Nordvig J. Inflation targeting and macroeconomic performance since the Great Recession. Oxford Economic Papers, 2015, vol. 67, no. 3, pp. 598–613. doi: 10.1093/oep/gpv024
  17. Dudin S.G., Tolstova A.Z., Surovtseva E.S. Doverie v makroekonomike [Confidence in macroeconomics]. Ekonomika: teoriya i praktika = Economics: Theory and Practice, 2015, no. 2, pp. 44–49.
  18. Listopad M.E. Evolyutsiya predstavlenii o konkurentosposobnosti natsional'noi ekonomiki [The evolution of views on the national economy competitiveness]. Ekonomika: teoriya i praktika = Economics: Theory and Practice, 2012, no. 3, pp. 41–47.
  19. Chen S.-H. Fiscal and monetary policies in a transactions-based endogenous growth model with imperfect competition. The Japanese Economic Review, 2015, vol. 66, no. 1, pp. 89–111. doi: 10.1111/jere.12043
  20. Ailarova G.I., Ailarov A.V. Napravleniya ispol'zovaniya mezhdunarodnykh finansov dlya stabilizatsii valyutnogo kursa rossiiskogo rublya [Areas of using the international finance to stabilize the exchange rate of the Russian ruble]. Ekonomika i predprinimatel'stvo = Economy and Entrepreneurship, 2015, no. 6-1, pp. 50–54.
  21. Pykhteev Yu.N., Voronina A.S., Burova A.A. Prioritety denezhno-kreditnoi politiki v eksportno-syr'evoi ekonomike [Priorities of the monetary policy in the raw materials export economy]. Uspekhi sovremennogo estestvoznaniya = Advances in Current Natural Sciences, 2014, no. 12-5, pp. 616–619.

View all articles of issue

 

ISSN 2311-8709 (Online)
ISSN 2071-4688 (Print)

Journal current issue

Vol. 30, Iss. 3
March 2024

Archive