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Financial Analytics: Science and Experience
 

Prompt modeling of agricultural entities' solvency

Vol. 8, Iss. 47, DECEMBER 2015

PDF  Article PDF Version

Received: 13 August 2015

Received in revised form: 19 October 2015

Accepted: 25 November 2015

Available online: 25 December 2015

Subject Heading: MATHEMATICAL ANALYSIS AND MODELING IN ECONOMICS

JEL Classification: 

Pages: 39-49

Yashina M.L. Ulyanovsk State Agricultural Academy named after P.A. Stolypin, Ulyanovsk, Russian Federation
may1978.78@mail.ru

Neif N.M. Ulyanovsk State Agricultural Academy named after P.A. Stolypin, Ulyanovsk, Russian Federation
neifnm@mail.ru

Importance Most regression and discriminant models and scientific research methods take much time to make a sound conclusion on the solvency of the possible borrower. It is reasonable to devise an economic and mathematical model for a prompt analysis of agricultural entities' solvency in line with their specifics.
     Objectives The research outlines a model for a rapid analysis of corporate solvency that would consider the specifics of agricultural production and allow determining the solvency class of the would-be borrower.
     Methods We take into account mandatory financial coefficients in line with industrial and organizational specifics of agricultural producers. We also determined the borrower's solvency limits broken down by three classes. The research is based on MS Excel and STATISTICA software applications.
     Results The model for prompt analysis of solvency is based on the equity ratio and quick ratio, considering the specifics of agricultural production and helps to decide whether it is possible to obtain a loan or the entity's financial standing should be mended.
     Conclusions and Relevance The model has been devised using the regional corpus of factual data, being reliable and reasonable. If the model is used to assess the financial position of the agricultural entity and identify solvency factors, it will help credit institution to take adequate lending decisions, while agricultural entities may plan stabilizing measures to handle the factors.

Keywords: lending, solvency, ratio analysis, modeling, agricultural production

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