Subject. The article addresses the exports of high-technology products and services. Objectives. The purpose is to assess the impact of exports of high-technology goods and services on the condition of national economies. Methods. The study rests on a hierarchy of hypotheses from the general to the specific, i.e. that the increase in exports leads to the economic growth of the country (H1), the exports of goods and services, with varying force, affect the economic growth of the country (H2), the increase in exports of certain categories of high-technology goods directly affects the economic growth of the country (H3). In the first stage, our analysis revealed that under the world economy globalization, exports of almost all countries of the world continue growing. In the second phase, to test the hypotheses we applied methods of multivariate statistical analysis, including the study of a fixed effects model enabling to consider non-measurable individual differences of objects. Results. The study confirms H1 and H2 hypotheses. While testing the H3 hypothesis, we found that the exports of machinery and equipment, pharmaceutical products, services in the field of computer and telecommunications services affect GDP, and the exports of electronics, insurance and financial services have no statistically significant impact on GDP. Conclusions. Although the findings require further investigation of identified causal relationships, we can conclude that they may have a significant impact on feasibility and effectiveness of government measures for boosting international trade and introduced trade barriers.
Keywords: high-technology exports, export, State support, economic growth, panel data
References:
Makhan'ko L.S. [Analyzing the factors of organizations' export potential development]. Ekonomicheskii analiz: teoriya i praktika = Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice, 2020, vol. 19, iss. 7, pp. 1315–1335. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Oleinik S.P. [A structural-functional model of company's foreign trade activity in the context of the system paradigm of the economy]. Ekonomicheskii analiz: teoriya i praktika = Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice, 2019, vol. 18, iss. 8, pp. 1543–1564. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Melnik A.N., Ermolaev K.A., Kuzmin M.S. Mechanism for adjustment of the companies innovative activity control indicators to their strategic development goals. Global Journal of Flexible Systems Management, 2019, vol. 20, iss. 3, pp. 189–218. URL: Link
Keesing D.B. Outward-looking policies and economic development. The Economic Journal, 1967, vol. 77, iss. 306, pp. 303–320. URL: Link
Balassa B. Exports, policy choices, and economic growth in developing countries after the 1973 oil shock. Journal of Development Economics, 1985, vol. 18, iss. 1, pp. 23-35. URL: Link90004-5
Watson A., Findlay C., Chen Chunlai. The growth of rural industry: The impact of fiscal contracting. In: The Third Revolution in the Chinese Countryside. Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, 1996, pp. 273–288. URL: Link
Kravis I.B. Trade as a Handmaiden of Growth: Similarities Between the Nineteenth and Twentieth Centuries. The Economic Journal, 1970, vol. 80, iss. 320, pp. 850–872. URL: Link
Jaffee D. Export Dependence and Economic Growth: A Reformulation and Respecification. Social Forces, 1985, vol. 64, iss. 1, pp. 102–118. URL: Link
Afxentiou P.C., Serletis A. Exports and GNP causality in the industrial countries: 1950–1985. Kyklos, 1991, vol. 44, iss. 2, pp. 167–179. URL: Link
Chow P.C.Y. Causality between export growth and industrial development: Empirical evidence from the NICs. Journal of Development Economics, 1987, vol. 26, iss. 1, pp. 55–63. URL: Link90051-4
Bahmani-Oskooee M., Domaç İ. Export growth and economic growth in Turkey: Evidence from cointegration analysis. METU Studies in Development, 1995, vol. 22, iss. 1, pp. 67–77.
Cheng Hsiao. Cointegration and dynamic simultaneous equations model. Econometrica, 1997, vol. 65, iss. 3, pp. 647–670.
Begum Erdil Sahin. Impact of high technology export on economic growth: An analysis on Turkey. Journal of Business, Economics and Finance, 2019, vol. 8, iss. 3, pp. 165–172. URL: Link
Usman M. Impact of high-tech exports on economic growth: Empirical evidence from Pakistan. RISUS – Journal on Innovation and Sustainability, 2017, vol. 8, iss. 1, pp. 91–105. URL: Link
Jie Wu, Zhenzhong Ma, Shuaihe Zhuo. Enhancing national innovative capacity: The impact of high-tech international trade and inward foreign direct investment. International Business Review, 2017, vol. 26, iss. 3, pp. 502–514. URL: Link
Ijirshar V.U. The empirical analysis of agricultural exports and economic growth in Nigeria. Journal of Development and Agricultural Economics, 2015, vol. 7, iss. 3, pp. 113–122. URL: Link
Aljebrin M.A. Impact of Non-oil Export on Non-oil Economic Growth in Saudi Arabia. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 2017, vol. 7, iss. 3, pp. 389–397. URL: Link
Lall S. Technological development and export performance in LDCs: Leading engineering and chemical firms in India. Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 1986, vol. 122, iss. 1, pp. 80–92. URL: Link
Musibau Adetunji Babatunde. Export of Services and Economic Growth in Nigeria. Journal of Economics and Development, 2018, vol. 20, iss. 2, pp. 23–49. URL: Link
Srholec M. High-tech exports from developing countries: A symptom of technology spurts or statistical illusion? Review of World Economics, 2007, vol. 143, no. 2, pp. 227–255. URL: Link
Giles J.A., Williams C.L. Export-led growth: A survey of the empirical literature and some non-causality results. Part 1. The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 2000, vol. 9, iss. 3, pp. 261–337. URL: Link