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From economic cycles toward new energy

Sutyagin V.Yu. Tambov State University named after G.R. Derzhavin, Tambov, Russian Federation ( sutyagin.vladislav@yandex.ru )

Radyukova Ya.Yu. Tambov State University named after G.R. Derzhavin, Tambov, Russian Federation ( radyukova68@mail.ru )

Pakhomov N.N. Tambov State University named after G.R. Derzhavin, Tambov, Russian Federation ( kaf-finnal@yandex.ru )

Journal: Finance and credit, #48, 2017

Subject The article addresses the regularity of capitalism development cycles, analyzes its cyclical nature and considers the 2008 crisis in the context of capitalist development patterns.
Objectives The purpose of the study is to prove that the crisis has a system nature and is connected with a business model.
Methods We employ a dialectic method, induction, analysis of dynamics, sampling observation, and grouping, united by a cross-disciplinary approach.
Results Cycles in capitalism development is a natural process which is disturbed by recurrent systemic crises. A recovery occurs under a new technological base (technological mode), therefore, the world economic architecture is updated (a new technical and economic coenosis is formed). A harbinger of the new technological mode is the development of a new power source, which exceeds the energy resources of the previous technological mode in terms of efficiency. The analysis shows that the new energy (slate oil and gas, biofuel, solar and geothermal energy) do not match the energy efficiency criterion, and this leads the world economy to a 'technological stalemate', preventing its transition to a new technological mode.
Conclusions and Relevance The findings show that the 2008 crisis is far from being over and has a system nature. Economic recovery is possible only under a new technological paradigm.


Towards the end of the bourgeois mode of production

Sutyagin V.Yu. Tambov State University named after G.R. Derzhavin, Tambov, Russian Federation ( sutyagin.vladislav@yandex.ru )

Radyukova Ya.Yu. Tambov State University named after G.R. Derzhavin, Tambov, Russian Federation ( radyukova68@mail.ru )

Kolesnichenko E.A. Tambov State University named after G.R. Derzhavin, Tambov, Russian Federation ( ekolesnichenko@live.ru )

Journal: Finance and credit, #22, 2017

Importance The article explores interrelations of major macroeconomic and demographic indicators of the leading economies of the world and implications of emerging trends for the world economy.
Objectives The purpose is to prove that the crisis has systemic nature and comes from a business model.
Methods The methodology rests on the analysis of changes in macroeconomic indicators of ten leading economies of the world with the contribution of over 61% of global GDP. We employed methods of dialectical analysis, induction, statistical methods such as analysis of trends, sample survey, grouping, extrapolation and interpolation, and others.
Results The study unveils that the current state of the world economy has a lot of contradictions in the field of investment, demography, government debts, monetary regulation of all leading economies of the world. Within the existing economic paradigm, they are addressed through continuous economic growth, the possibility of which are practically exhausted in the framework of the current business model (Marx called it 'a bourgeois mode of production' and the single global market). Under these circumstances, it is required to develop new efficient tools to ensure crisis recovery.
Conclusions The study provides for adequate and objective assessment of the current state and development trends of the world's economies, including Russia, and serves as a methodological basis for appropriate tools development.


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