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Forecasting the financial market and its impact on the industry development

Il'yasov R.Kh. Chechen State University, Grozny, Chechen Republic, Russian Federation ( ilyasov_95@mail.ru )

Kurazova D.A. Chechen State University, Grozny, Chechen Republic, Russian Federation ( diana.kurazova.89@list.ru )

Journal: Finance and credit, #43, 2017

Importance The subject of the research is mathematical methods of forecasting the movement of the financial market. The relationship between the financial market and the state of the industrial sector is also researched in the paper.
Objectives The purpose of the study is to substantiate the significance of the financial market and its impact on the real sector of economy. The mathematical tools are used to analyze the state of the market and its future dynamics.
Methods The article uses the regression-correlation analysis, statistical analysis, horizontal and vertical data analysis. The growth rates of the main industrial indices of the Moscow stock exchange are also analyzed and a forecast of their future movement is made.
Results The results of the research can be used to develop the future strategic guidelines of reforming Russia's financial market.
Conclusions and Relevance The value of this work is that the attention is focused on the internal mechanisms of attracting investments. It is the result of the formation of a mathematical instrument of forecasting the financial market conditions.


Forecasting the Situation in the Financial Market and Evaluating Its Impact on the Industry Development

Il'yasov R.Kh. Chechen State University, Grozny, Chechen Republic, Russian Federation ( ilyasov_95@mail.ru )

Kurazova D.A. Chechen State University, Grozny, Chechen Republic, Russian Federation ( diana.kurazova.89@list.ru )

Journal: Digest Finance, #1, 2018

Importance The research focuses on mathematical methods for forecasting the financial market trends in its impact on the industry development. Viewing the future economic development through the lens of the financial sector trends, many researchers proved the relationship between the financial market situation and the industrial sector.
Objectives In theory and practice, the research substantiates the significance of the financial market, its impact of the real economy, considering the existing lack of finance and investment resources. Applying mathematical tools for analyzing the market and its future trends, we determine how it will rise and fall in industrial sectors of the national economy. The forecast allows to adjust an economic policy and alleviate possible crunches.
Methods Based on methods of regression-and-correlation, statistical, horizontal and vertical analysis of data, we examine rates of growth in key industrial indices at the Moscow Stock Exchange and predict their future behavior.
Results As part of this research, we devised forecasting tools for examining the financial market and key mechanisms for raising investment resources from the financial sector.
Conclusions and Relevance The research is of scientific value since it explores internal mechanisms for raising investment, which result from a mathematical framework for market forecasting. The resultant forecasting tools are recommendable to use to get a deeper understanding of the financial market trends and key mechanisms for attracting investment resources from the financial sector.


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