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Development of tools for evaluation of financial stability of enterprises of the military-industrial complex

Avdonin B.N. JSC Central Research Institute Elektronika, Moscow, Russian Federation ( instel _a@instel.ru )

Bat'kovskii A.M. JSC Central Research Institute Elektronika, Moscow, Russian Federation ( batkovskiy_a@instel.ru )

Mingaliev K.N. Financial University under Government of Russian Federation, Moscow, Russian Federation ( mingaliev@mail.ru )

Bat'kovskii M.A. Vanag, Ltd, Moscow, Russian Federation ( batkovsky@yandex.ru )

Journal: Financial Analytics: Science and Experience, #10, 2014

The article considers the problem of improvement of tools of an assessment of financial stability of the enterprises of defense industry complex of Russia. The authors analyze the operating system of the aggregated indicators of its assessment and define the main directions of development in the modern conditions, considering risks of loss of financial stability. They develop the technique of an assessment of financial stability of the enterprises of the defense industry complex having a joint-stock form of property which make nearly 80% of their total number.


Development of tools for evaluation of financial stability of enterprises of the military-industrial complex

Boris N. AVDONIN JSC Central Research Institute Elektronika, Moscow, Russian Federation ( instel _a@instel.ru )

Aleksandr M. BAT'KOVSKII JSC Central Research Institute Elektronika, Moscow, Russian Federation ( batkovskiy_a@instel.ru )

Kamil' N. MINGALIEV Financial University under Government of Russian Federation, Moscow, Russian Federation ( mingaliev@mail.ru )

Mikhail A. BAT'KOVSKII Vanag, Ltd, Moscow, Russian Federation ( batkovsky@yandex.ru )

Journal: Digest Finance, #2, 2014

The article considers the problem of improvement of tools of an assessment of financial stability of the enterprises of defense industry complex of Russia. The authors analyze the operating system of the aggregated indicators of its assessment and define the main directions of development in the modern conditions, considering risks of loss of financial stability. They develop the technique of an assessment of financial stability of the enterprises of the defense industry complex having a joint-stock form of property which make nearly 80% of their total number.


Developing methods to assess financial and economic state of enterprises of military-industrial complex

Bat'kovskii A.M. Central Research Institute of Economics, Control Systems and Information "Electronics", Moscow, Russian Federation ( batkovskiy_a@instel.ru )

Trofimets V.Ya. Demidov Yaroslavl State University, Yaroslavl, Russian Federation ( zemifort@inbox.ru )

Trofimets E.N. Saint Petersburg Branch of Financial University under Government of Russian Federation, St. Petersburg, Russian Federation ( zemifort@inbox.ru )

Journal: Finance and credit, #48, 2014

In this paper, we propose instruments to assess financial and economic condition of defense enterprises based on collective sampling, which can be considered as part of methodological tools to make a comprehensive assessment of qualification of serial production suppliers within the framework of State job execution. The proposed tools for assessing financial and economic state of military-industrial complex enterprises base on certain algorithms to analyze the degree of consistency of preference profiles, as well as on joint use of the method of arithmetic mean ranks and the method of indicators of rank location. The formation of the methodological tools is reduced to the algorithm of its application. This enabled to assess financial and economic standing of a number of enterprises based on real data. The results of the evaluation testify to reliability and validity of the proposed tools and their feasibility while choosing contractors of a State defense order. The practical application of the suggested methods of assessing financial and economic state of military-industrial complex enterprises will allow increasing the sustainability of their development, as well as the efficiency of developing and producing armament systems and military equipment.


Assessment of Investment Project Risks in Aviation

Bat'kovskii A.M. Moscow Aviation Institute (National Research University) (MAI), Moscow, Russian Federation ( batkovsky@yandex.ru )

Klochkov V.V. National Research Center Zhukovsky Institute, Moscow, Russian Federation ( vlad_klochkov@mail.ru )

Khrustalev E.Yu. Central Economics and Mathematics Institute (CEMI), Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russian Federation ( stalev777@yandex.ru )

Journal: Digest Finance, #2, 2018

Importance Investment projects for developing the productive potential of aviation enterprises have a protracted period of equity divestment. Throughout the period, the projected conditions may change. To adapt to such unpredictable developments, enterprises have to incur significant financial costs, thus causing unrecoverable losses. Therefore, many projects at the investment stage are exposed to material risk.
Objectives We devise a new approach to evaluating whether the productive potential of the Russian aviation industry is effectively developed. Throughout the implementation period, there come out different estimates of the demand, cost, and new technologies. Managing the implementation of protracted investment projects requires a toolkit for applying the real options approach.
Methods The research relies upon methods of logic and statistical analysis, and mathematical modeling in economics.
Results We propose a new classification of possible changes in the investment project environment. We analyzed losses by project implementation scenario at different stages. The research also considers the specifics of the aviation industry and analyzes how the technological level of production influences respective risks.
Conclusions and Relevance We assessed the effectiveness of the productive potential development in the Russian aviation industry. It would be reasonable to consider our estimates to analyze the effectiveness of adaptive management of protracted investment projects for the productive potential development. The estimates may help identify the most material risks at different stages of such projects. We also provide our recommendations for optimizing the management of such risks.


Assessment of investment project risks in aviation

Bat'kovskii A.M. Moscow Aviation Institute (National Research University) (MAI), Moscow, Russian Federation ( batkovsky@yandex.ru )

Klochkov V.V. National Research Center Zhukovsky Institute, Moscow, Russian Federation ( vlad_klochkov@mail.ru )

Khrustalev E.Yu. Central Economics and Mathematics Institute (CEMI), Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russian Federation ( stalev777@yandex.ru )

Journal: National Interests: Priorities and Security, #5, 2018

Importance Investment projects for developing the productive potential of aviation enterprises have a protracted period of equity divestment. Throughout the period, the projected conditions may change. To adapt to such unpredictable developments, enterprises have to incur significant financial costs, thus causing unrecoverable losses. Therefore, many projects at the investment stage are exposed to material risk.
Objectives We devise a new approach to evaluating whether the productive potential of the Russian aviation industry is effectively developed. Throughout the implementation period, there come out different estimates of the demand, cost, and new technologies. Managing the implementation of protracted investment projects requires a toolkit for applying the real options approach.
Methods The research relies upon methods of logic and statistical analysis, and mathematical modeling in economics.
Results We propose a new classification of possible changes in the investment project environment. We analyzed losses by project implementation scenario at different stages. The research also considers the specifics of the aviation industry and analyzes how the technological level of production influences respective risks.
Conclusions and Relevance We assessed the effectiveness of the productive potential development in the Russian aviation industry. It would be reasonable to consider our estimates to analyze the effectiveness of adaptive management of protracted investment projects for the productive potential development. The estimates may help identify the most material risks at different stages of such projects. We also provide our recommendations for optimizing the management of such risks.


Rating tools to assess the economic status of enterprises

Bat'kovskii A.M. Central Research Institute of Economics, Control Systems and Information "Electronics", Moscow, Russian Federation ( batkovskiy_a@instel.ru )

Trofimets V.Ya. Yaroslavl Demidov State University, Yaroslavl, Russian Federation ( zemifort@inbox.ru )

Trofimets E.N. Yaroslavl State Technical University, Yaroslavl, Russian Federation ( zemifort@inbox.ru )

Journal: Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice, #36, 2014

The authors present a set of economic and mathematical tools to rate the economic status of enterprises under the analytic hierarchy process method. The method serves to solve a wide variety of analytical tasks of multicriteria choice, primarily when holding tenders and awarding contracts for goods, works and services procurement to supply public and municipal needs. The analytic hierarchy process is a relatively simple and effective way to measure various factors influencing the economic status of enterprises through the pairwise relative comparison of these factors. The analytic hierarchy process also enables to calculate corresponding ratio scale priorities between the factors, to rank them by all criteria, to build a hierarchy of the criteria, and to apply a pairwise comparison. The proposed economic and mathematical tools develop the analytic hierarchy process through developing an integral scorecard rating of economic status of enterprises, indicative scales of integral indicators of the rating, and a procedure for building coordinated intervals. The authors present a system of indicators and computation algorithms, which implement the analytic hierarchy process while solving the analytical task under consideration. The system of indicators and computation algorithms are universal and can serve to solve other tasks of the given class. The authors also present a computation procedure, which is based on the calculation of geometric mean values by matrix rows with their subsequent normalization. The procedure develops the method of analytic hierarchy process and enables to obtain integrated ratings of economic status of enterprises. Most of the procedures are of formalized and strictly justified nature. This fact significantly reduces the level of subjectivity inherent in all existing techniques with the elements of expert review. Therefore, the implementation of the tools can significantly increase the feasibility and effectiveness of solving a large number of analytical tasks. The article provides the rating tools' testing and possible practical application.


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