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Regional Economics: Theory and Practice
 

Depopulation of rural residents in the Tambov oblast: A statistical analysis of trends

Vol. 15, Iss. 8, AUGUST 2017

PDF  Article PDF Version

Received: 21 February 2017

Received in revised form: 6 March 2017

Accepted: 28 March 2017

Available online: 15 August 2017

Subject Heading: POPULATION AND DEMOGRAPHY

JEL Classification: J11, J21, J31, J43, O18

Pages: 1565–1579

https://doi.org/10.24891/re.15.8.1565

Popova G.L. Tambov State Technical University, Tambov, Russian Federation
galina2011.popova@yandex.ru

Subject The article addresses demographic processes associated with the rising median age, declining working-age of rural population and intensification of migration processes.
Objectives The aim of the study is to analyze the trends in the rural population of the Tambov oblast and its structure, identify adverse factors affecting the number of rural dwellers.
Methods The study draws on methods of systems analysis, statistical methods, like coefficient and structural analysis, dynamics analysis, graphical and regression analysis. The analysis rests on statistical data for the period from 1990 to 2015.
Results The paper investigates the trends in the rural population, the impact of population growth and migratory movement on the number of people living in rural areas, and the condition of the labor market. It presents a comparative analysis of indicators characterizing the movement of urban and rural population and explores the key factors impacting these figures.
Conclusions and Relevance In 2015, the Tambov oblast faced active processes of rural population decline. It is possible to stop the negative trends through improving the living standards, including by increasing the remuneration and solving the employment problems. Diversification of economic activities will enable to create additional employment.

Keywords: rural population, population growth, human migration, model, Tambov oblast

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