Popov A.V.Institute of Socio-Economic Development of Territories of Russian Academy of Sciences, Vologda, Russian Federation ai.popov@yahoo.com
Kalachikova O.N.Institute of Socio-Economic Development of Territories of Russian Academy of Sciences, Vologda, Russian Federation onk82@yandex.ru
Importance Low birth rates and high mortality intensify population aging processes, thus necessitating researches into demographic security of areas. Objectives The research elaborates an integral index of demographic security threats of the area, considering the theoretical and conceptual substance of the notion. Methods Demographic security was split into areas where potential threats may arise, with critical thresholds being identified. The higher the integral index, the more probable the adverse effect of demographic factors on the development of the area. Results Having assessed the integral index of demographic security threats, we marked the Russian regions demographically and set a matrix of the current threats and trends in parameters included into the index. The article indicates good areas and regions, which are not protected from demographic threats most of all. Conclusions and Relevance We conclude that the proposed methodology is applicable to group areas in terms of demographic security, and the grouping is reasonable for managerial decision making at the federal and regional levels.
Keywords: demographic security, integral index, demography, method
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